How wrong are you about how long something will hurt?

Timothy Wilson & Daniel Gilbert · Affective Forecasting · 2003

A · Replicated at scale

People systematically overestimate the intensity and duration of future emotional reactions. A central cause is immune neglect: we underestimate the mind's capacity to rationalise, reframe and recover. The error is robust across events, including ones people have experienced before.

ProbeRecall a past event you expected to devastate you. Write how long you expected it to last and how long it did.

Source: Timothy Wilson & Daniel Gilbert, Affective Forecasting (2003)

Shelf: Feeling

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